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Alexandria, VA -- Vox Populi Polling recently conducted a survey amongst likely voters to analyze voter sentiment around the issue of the open Supreme Court Justice seat following the recent death of Justice Antonin Scalia.

Following a week of non-stop news coverage, polls indicate that the Supreme Court justice appointment is unlikely to impact voter decisions in the 2016 general election. Only 5% of likely voters believe the Supreme Court vacancy is the most important issue in deciding which presidential candidate to support, whereas 39% prioritized economic issues and 21% selected foreign affairs and national security. Similarly, voters indicated the most important issues for selecting a congressional candidate to support are the economy (37%) and foreign affairs (21%) with just 9% choosing the Supreme Court vacancy.

“Media coverage doesn’t necessarily translate to influencing voter priorities,” said Vox Populi pollster Brent Seaborn. “Despite the glare of the media spotlight and intense political rhetoric on both sides, the polls show that the American people are far more concerned with economic and foreign policy issues in selecting the next President of the United States.”

More than a third (37%) of likely voters think President Obama should nominate a conservative to replace Justice Scalia, while 32% say that ideology should not matter in the selection process for a nominee. The poll also reveals:

  • The Supreme Court vacancy issue ranks last in importance for all presidential candidates except Hillary Clinton’s supporters, 15% of whom prioritized the vacancy.
  • Half of voters believe Obama should not wait in appointing a new Justice. 86% of Democrats want the President to appoint the new Supreme Court Justice while 68% of Republicans think it is too close to the end of his term.
  • Voters chose the two most polarized Justices (liberal Ruth Bader Ginsburg and conservative Clarence Thomas) as their “favorite” member of the bench. 14% of all respondents and 25% of Democrat respondents identify liberal Ruth Bader Ginsburg as their favorite justice, and 16% of the sample and 26% of polled Republicans recognize conservative Clarence Thomas as their favorite.

Methodology:  The sample size for the survey is 811 likely active voters. The margin of error is +/ 3.4. All interviews were completed using a mix of automated telephone and mobile-based survey technology on February 17-18, 2016 by Vox Populi Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

To view the full results, click here.

» Read More

“Support for strengthening online privacy spans across all ages, races and political affiliations. This level of support is typically unheard of in politics today. Considering implications for the upcoming 2016 elections, and the level of support among likely Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary voters, political candidates should take notice of this overwhelming support for ECPA reform,” said Michael Meyers of Vox Populi Polling. 

The Digital 4th coalition commissioned a national survey and two state surveys of active registered voters in Iowa and New Hampshire. Read the full memo here.


» Read More

Alexandria, VA -- Vox Populi Polling recently conducted a survey, sponsored by a PAC unaffiliated with any of the presidential candidates, amongst likely Republican voters to analyze primary/caucus voter sentiment around the debates.

Presidential candidates Chris Christie and Mike Huckabee were dropped to the undercard debate for the Fox Business/Wall Street Journal debate on November 10. However, 65% of likely Republican voters believe Christie should speak in the main debate, and 46% believe Huckabee should be on the stage. Interestingly, the survey results indicate that the majority of Republican voters (54%) believe Rand Paul should not be on the stage. Paul is currently slated to join the main debate, but only 38% thought he should be there. While 70% of voters confirmed that Carly Fiorina should participate in the main debate, only 16% of voters felt Lindsey Graham--who failed to make the debate entirely--should be on the main stage.

The survey also indicates that Republican primary voters are very interested in the debates as  a whole - with or without Donald Trump.  88% say they will probably or definitely watch the debate and 81% would watch with our without Trump’s involvement.  When asked about which journalist would do the best job hosting a future GOP debate, top results included Bill O’Reilly (25%), Sean Hannity (16%), Rush Limbaugh (14%), and Mark Levin (11%). Additionally, following the recent GOP debate, 62% of likely Republican voters felt that the questions asked by the CNBC moderators were unfair.

Methodology: The sample size for the survey is 768 Likely GOP Presidential Primary and Caucus goers drawn from a national sample of registered and modeled Republicans and Republican primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.5. All interviews were completed using automated telephone and all interviews were conducted November 5, 2015 by Vox Populi Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

To view the full results, click here.


» Read More

Alexandria, VA – A new survey conducted by Vox Populi Polling amongst likely Kentucky voters found that the three-way race for Kentucky Governor remains tight and will likely come down to voter turnout.

Top Numbers:

Matt Bevin: 44%
Jack Conway: 44%
Drew Curtis:  6%

(moe: +/- 3.9%)

While the survey shows this is an exceptionally close race, Republican candidate Matt Bevin narrowly edges Democrat candidate Jack Conway 46-43 percent among self-reported Kentucky voters who say they will definitely head to the polls on Tuesday. Both candidates have an equal 79 percent share of their respective parties, but Bevin has a ten point advantage with Kentucky independents (38-28). Independent Drew Curtis is taking votes away from both candidates, but he is only slightly hurting Bevin’s numbers, with 43 percent of Curtis voters admitting they would vote for Bevin in a two-way race in comparison.

“This is a jump ball election that will hinge upon voter turnout for all three candidates,” said Vox Populi pollster Brent Seaborn. “The numbers for Bevin and Conway are incredibly tight, and their partisan share is equal. And the wild card is a third party candidate polling at 6%, and another 7% are still undecided.  The Kentucky gubernatorial election could come down to the wire as we watch the percentage of Republicans, Democrats, and independents who show up to the polls. Bevin has certainly closed the gap in recent weeks, but we’ll find out the full results on Tuesday.”

Methodology: The sample size for the survey is 618 active voters in the US taken from a listed sample of registered voters who voted in the 2012 or 2014 general election or registered since the 2014 general election. The margin of error is +/- 3.9%. All interviews were conducted October 26-27, 2015 by Vox Populi Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

To view the full results, click here.


» Read More

Grayson leads informed ballot, has higher name ID and favorables

Alexandria, VA – A new survey conducted by Vox Populi Polling among Democrat primary voters in Florida found that Rep. Alan Grayson is poised to pull off an upset against Rep. Patrick Murphy in the race for Marco Rubio’s U.S. Senate seat. While Murphy leads Grayson on the initial ballot test by 34-24 percent, his lead dissipates once voters learn more about the candidates. Once informed, voters prefer Grayson 56-21 percent, with 24 percent of voters undecided.

“Marco Rubio stepping down from the U.S. Senate to run for president ensures that the race to replace him in 2016 will be one of the most contested in the country." said Vox Populi Polling Pollster Brent Seaborn. “Democrats will have a tough primary on their hands if Reps. Grayson and Murphy run against each other. As voters learn more about the two candidates, Grayson is well positioned to pull off what would be a major upset to Democrats."

Other key findings include:

  • 37 percent of Democrat voters have a somewhat or very favorable opinion of Grayson compared to 36 percent who view Murphy favorably.
  • Grayson leads in name recognition, with 42 percent of voters saying they are not aware of Grayson compared to 47 percent who are unaware of Murphy.
  • When voters learned that Grayson opposed food stamp cuts and Murphy supported them, 57 percent of voters were more inclined to support Grayson.
  • When hearing that Grayson supported a more progressive budget and Murphy opposed it, 66 percent of voters were more likely to vote for Grayson.
  • 75 percent said it was either very important or somewhat important to have a progressive nominee who will stand up to big corporations and Wall Street.
  • 56 percent of voters were either somewhat or much less likely to support Murphy when they found out he is a former Republican who donated to Romney.

Methodology: The sample size for the survey is 717 likely Democratic primary voters in the US taken from a listed sample of registered voters in Florida that are modeled Democrats or Independents. The margin of error is +/- 3.7%. 501 interviews were completed using automated telephone technology and 216 were conducted using mobile based survey technology. All interviews were conducted June 15-17, 2015, by Vox Populi Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

To view the full results, click here.


» Read More

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Alexandria, VA -- Vox Populi Polling recently conducted a survey amongst likely voters to analyze voter sentiment around the issue of the open Supreme Court Justice seat following the recent death of Justice Antonin Scalia.

Following a week of non-stop news coverage, polls indicate that the Supreme Court justice appointment is unlikely to impact voter decisions in the 2016 general election. Only 5% of likely voters believe the Supreme Court vacancy is the most important issue in deciding which presidential candidate to support, whereas 39% prioritized economic issues and 21% selected foreign affairs and national security. Similarly, voters indicated the most important issues for selecting a congressional candidate to support are the economy (37%) and foreign affairs (21%) with just 9% choosing the Supreme Court vacancy.

“Media coverage doesn’t necessarily translate to influencing voter priorities,” said Vox Populi pollster Brent Seaborn. “Despite the glare of the media spotlight and intense political rhetoric on both sides, the polls show that the American people are far more concerned with economic and foreign policy issues in selecting the next President of the United States.”

More than a third (37%) of likely voters think President Obama should nominate a conservative to replace Justice Scalia, while 32% say that ideology should not matter in the selection process for a nominee. The poll also reveals:

  • The Supreme Court vacancy issue ranks last in importance for all presidential candidates except Hillary Clinton’s supporters, 15% of whom prioritized the vacancy.
  • Half of voters believe Obama should not wait in appointing a new Justice. 86% of Democrats want the President to appoint the new Supreme Court Justice while 68% of Republicans think it is too close to the end of his term.
  • Voters chose the two most polarized Justices (liberal Ruth Bader Ginsburg and conservative Clarence Thomas) as their “favorite” member of the bench. 14% of all respondents and 25% of Democrat respondents identify liberal Ruth Bader Ginsburg as their favorite justice, and 16% of the sample and 26% of polled Republicans recognize conservative Clarence Thomas as their favorite.

Methodology:  The sample size for the survey is 811 likely active voters. The margin of error is +/ 3.4. All interviews were completed using a mix of automated telephone and mobile-based survey technology on February 17-18, 2016 by Vox Populi Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

To view the full results, click here.

» Read More

“Support for strengthening online privacy spans across all ages, races and political affiliations. This level of support is typically unheard of in politics today. Considering implications for the upcoming 2016 elections, and the level of support among likely Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary voters, political candidates should take notice of this overwhelming support for ECPA reform,” said Michael Meyers of Vox Populi Polling. 

The Digital 4th coalition commissioned a national survey and two state surveys of active registered voters in Iowa and New Hampshire. Read the full memo here.


» Read More

Alexandria, VA -- Vox Populi Polling recently conducted a survey, sponsored by a PAC unaffiliated with any of the presidential candidates, amongst likely Republican voters to analyze primary/caucus voter sentiment around the debates.

Presidential candidates Chris Christie and Mike Huckabee were dropped to the undercard debate for the Fox Business/Wall Street Journal debate on November 10. However, 65% of likely Republican voters believe Christie should speak in the main debate, and 46% believe Huckabee should be on the stage. Interestingly, the survey results indicate that the majority of Republican voters (54%) believe Rand Paul should not be on the stage. Paul is currently slated to join the main debate, but only 38% thought he should be there. While 70% of voters confirmed that Carly Fiorina should participate in the main debate, only 16% of voters felt Lindsey Graham--who failed to make the debate entirely--should be on the main stage.

The survey also indicates that Republican primary voters are very interested in the debates as  a whole - with or without Donald Trump.  88% say they will probably or definitely watch the debate and 81% would watch with our without Trump’s involvement.  When asked about which journalist would do the best job hosting a future GOP debate, top results included Bill O’Reilly (25%), Sean Hannity (16%), Rush Limbaugh (14%), and Mark Levin (11%). Additionally, following the recent GOP debate, 62% of likely Republican voters felt that the questions asked by the CNBC moderators were unfair.

Methodology: The sample size for the survey is 768 Likely GOP Presidential Primary and Caucus goers drawn from a national sample of registered and modeled Republicans and Republican primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.5. All interviews were completed using automated telephone and all interviews were conducted November 5, 2015 by Vox Populi Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

To view the full results, click here.


» Read More

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